Iowa predicts an Obama/Huckabee election

So the Iowa caucuses are over, as an Iowan I can only say, thank fucking christ.  No more barrage of campaign commercials, leaflets, phone calls, canvassers, crazy people freezing their asses off behind giant Hilary Clinton signs.  God damn I was getting tired of that shit. Although as an Iowan I am glad to no longer be the target of every presidential candidates desire, as a political junkie, I am fascinated by the results of the caucuses. Let's start with the Republicans.  Although I don't think anyone is overly surprised that Huckabee won the caucus, the fact that he was able to overtake Mitt Romney was a bit of a surprise (even if dark horse candidates have a history of success here).  But more importantly, Huckabee's victory here says something far more important about the race for the republican party nomination. The evangelical contingent (which is large; 60% of republican caucus goers) is not going to vote for a Mormon.  Granted, no one is going to want to say that out loud, but it's the truth.  Now, Iowa has a strong religious base, but we're not exactly what I would call the bible belt.  Honestly, do you think southerners are going to vote for a Mormon?  This is not about conservative politics, it's about religious politics, plain and simple.  Huckabee's record speaks for itself, he is far from being the most politically conservative candidate (Ron Paul takes that hands down), but Romney, McCain, Giuliani and Thompson all have far more conservative records on taxation, immigration, crime, etc., etc. Do I think that Huckabee will win the nomination, not really.  I think that as other candidates like Thompson, Hunter and Giuliani eventually drop out, their supporters will lean toward McCain, not Huckabee. I could be wrong, but I think Huckabee will lose the nomination to McCain. Now, as for the democrats, this is a historical moment for Iowans.  Barack Hussein Obama, a black man, has been chosen as Iowa democrats' candidate for  the presidency.  That's all well and good.  What is far more important is that Hilary Clinton finished tied for a second with John Edwards at 30%, 7% behind Obama.  What does this mean?  Well, to put it simply, it means that 67% (70% if you count the Richardson and Biden supporters) of Iowa democrats do not want Hilary Clinton to be their presidential nominee. Now you can certainly say the same about Mike Huckabee and the Republicans, however, I think that eventually, when Obama starts winning primaries in the South, and Edwards concedes to him and joins his ticket as VP, all those Edwards voters are going to support Obama and Hilary will have to go back to the Senate with her head in her hands.  67% of Iowa Democratic party members have said they would rather have one of two men as their candidate than this one woman. New Hampshire's primary is in 5 days, and a lot can happen in 5 days.  No one knows what will happen there, but I have a feeling that a lot of New Hampshireites (if that's what you would call them) are going to be rethinking their vote over the next few days.  Iowans have a lot in common with the folks in NH, we have a lot of similar views on the government and it's place in our lives.  The good news is, it's going to be one hell of an interesting year leading up to the general election.